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A. What's the news?
51st G7 summit was held in Canada from 15th to 17th June of 2025.
B. The SHOCKER!!
The original members of G7 are the following:
1) US.
2) Japan.
3) Germany.
4) UK.
5) France.
6) Italy.
7) Canada.
But for the above G7 summit, the rest of the global economy is very much fortunate enough to witness a drastic change in the history of all G7 summit since the 29th G8 (included Russia) summit of 2003, conducted in France, ie, we could see the presence following non- G7 countries in the above G7 summit in Canada. They are the following:-
1) India.
2) Brazil.
3) South Africa.
Other non- G7 country invitees includes the following:-
4) Australia.
5) Mexico.
6) South Korea.
7) Ukraine.
8) NATO.
9) UN.
10) World Bank.
C. Mainstream media news= selective on viral content: An unfortunate mindset.
Unfortunately, most of the Indian mainstream news media's was only focusing on the reason as to why Trump abruptly left the summit.
The present G7 summit is not just a simple summit but is a highly strategic geopolitical game, keeping in mind the current geopolitical volatility, which most of the Indian mainstream news media either:-
1) Don't understand the above in the appropriate needed depth, which includes the following:-
a) current geopolitical significance.
b) geopolitical edge over.
2) Deliberately ignores it.
3) Simply don't care about it.
D. India: Plans to play the long term game.
The main long term geopolitical objective of India in accepting and attending the above summit are the following:-
1) To get into the good books of the west.
2) We can see that there were three BRICS representatives in the above summit. They are the following:-
a) India.
b) South Africa.
c) Brazil
These countries are giving a clear and bold message to the US that formation of BRICS was never intended to do the following:-
a) Topple America, nor
b) Topple or in anyway substitute the US currency.
but to stop the monopolistic mindset of America.
3) To bring consensus among the members of the west to:-
a) Get India into the permanent member seat of the UNSC.
b) To bring the needed reforms in the UNSC.
E. US proposal to include Russia into the G7 club.
The following would be the expected sequence of events by proposing the inclusion of Russia into the G7 club by Trump:-
1) To bring Russia under the knees of the west, especially under Trump's, control and command.
2) Lower down Russia's strength to attack Ukraine.
3) Incentivize Russia by proposing the revocation of all of the existing sanctions imposed by the US.
4) Thereby indirectly stopping the Russia-Ukraine war.
F. EU's probable response to Trump's proposal of including Russia into the G7 grouping.
EU at the first instance and on the face it would reject the Trump's proposal of including Russia into the G7 grouping. The possible explanation given by the EU would be that the inclusion of Russia into the G7 grouping would mean and give a wrong message to the world that the G7 grouping is giving full support to Russia's unlawful aggressive aggression on Ukraine.
But Trump, who really wants to end the war as early as possible, would most probably compel the EU to revoke all of it's sanctions imposed against Russia.
Trump would possibly convince the EU by addressing the following:-
1) Russia has 100% dominance in this war.
2) Ukraine don't have any chance to win the war.
3) Imposing sanctions is not a pragmatic solution at all of the present.
4) Imposing sanctions on Russia would only help aggregate Russia's revenge towards the west and would only intensify it's brutal attack against Ukraine by strengthening it's Russia- North Korea axis.
5) Imposing sanctions will never help us in anyway reach an end to this war.
G. Will Russia accept the Trump's proposal and join the G7 grouping?
Russia, in all probability, will never ever accept the Trump's proposal to include Russia into the G7 grouping.
The reasons are the following:-
1) The unpredictable stance towards Russia by both the American political parties when coming into power.
2) Dislike to dance in tune with the west's command.
3) To continue it's efforts to annex whole of Ukraine.
4) To protect BRICS grouping.
5) To have independence and freedom to take bold decisions.
H. US proposal to include China into G7 club.
One of main objective of Trump's present term is to completely isolate China both economically and geopolitically from the global competition.
Unfortunately, Trump's above proposal of including China into the G7 club is completely defeating Trump's main objective of isolating China both economically and geopolitically from the global competition and instead is giving China a opportunity to dominate the global economy.
If China accepts Trump's above proposal, Trump is actually helping China to gain back its US market share through increase export of Chinese goods to America.
If the above situation comes into a reality then, Trump's tariff policy against China, notwithstanding whether there is increase or decrease in or have constant tariff rates, would become completely redundant, because Trump itself is giving enough and more loopholes for China to come back with full power to have complete global market dominance.
The question to ask is this,
1) Whether Trump really wanted to achieve the above mentioned goal through its tariff policy against China?
OR,
2) Is it just another facade by America?
I. EU's probable response to Trump's proposal of including China into the G7 grouping.
EU will be at confusion in deciding the Trump's aforesaid proposal due to the following reasons:-
1) EU would need to keep China as a backup for importing its refined oil and gas, at the time when the latest round of sanctions on Russia come into force.
2) EU is witnessing a drastic shift in their consumer's taste and preference from EU's domestic automotive brand's to cheap Chinese E V brand's.
The question to ask is this,
1) which one of the above two will EU give priority to?
2) Will EU drop both of the above?
3) If EU plans to drop the above two plans, then do EU have a crystal clear cut backup plan to replace the above two plans?
J. Will China accept the Trump's proposal and join the G7 grouping?
There are two scenario's to it. They are the following:-
1) If China accepts the Trump's proposal.
The following will happen:
a) Strengthen its already existing Chinese EV market in the EU.
b) Gain back America's market share.
c) Completely stop China from invading Taiwan.
d) To dance in tune with the western command.
2) If China don't accept Trump's proposal.
The following will happen:-
a) As always Russia would continue to use China as a tool to distract the west from focusing on to the Russia- Ukraine conflict.
b) China will continue forward with it's plan to completely invade Taiwan.
c) Strengthen BRICS grouping.
K. Canada's invitation and Ukraine's willingness to participate in G7 summit.
Since the start of Russia-Ukraine conflict ie, from 2022 to 2024 (3 years), both the EU and NATO members have ever since been discussing about the issue of whether Ukraine should be given NATO/ EU membership or not.
Till date, neither NATO nor EU could come to a unified consensus.
The invitation of Ukraine to the G7 summit can only be seen as just an other facade by the west.
The invitation of Ukraine to the G7 summit was for nothing else but to show to Russia as a formality that the west is united with Ukraine against the fight with Russia.
L. Future.
In essence, Trump's above mentioned proposal will only stay as a wishful thinking.
The question that any country would ask to themselves, before falling into any trap, is this,
By compromising one's own individuality, will any country put their head forward knowing that it will get beheaded?
Blog dated: 25- 06- 2025
G7 SUMMIT IN CANADA
Real world geopolitics, India- centered analysis
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A. What's the news?
India became the world's most cost effective and No 1 in manufacturing hub overtaking China, as per the data from World of Statistics and US news and world report.
B. Its easy to reach but difficult to sustain.
Indian's are very proud in the great milestone that we have currently achieved, thanks to the current central governments good and appropriate business and economic laws and policies.
When keeping in mind the highly toughened competition that the global economy is currently going through as a corollary of the geopolitical volatility and the AI age, the current great milestone that we have achieved, can never be considered as a celebratory moment.
Achievement of this great milestone is not the ultimate and final, there is yet another milestone that we need to achieve, that is, to sustain this achievement. It is very easy for any country to reach and achieve any great milestone, but the real milestone achievement is when a country is able to sustain that achievement.
C. Needed paradigm shift from businesses.
The following are the necessary paradigm shifts that any business must have:-
1) A shift from profit only oriented business model to pain point solving business model.
2) A shift from against competitor business strategy to self business growth strategy.
3) A shift from low price and cheap raw material procurement to low price and quality material procurement.
4) A shift from AI replacement and workforce layoffs to human workforce integration with AI.
5) A shift from quantity based production to quality based production.
6) A shift from seeing IPO listing as a tool for debt payment to raising fund for business expansion and growth.
D. Needed paradigm shift from the government
An important and necessary paradigm shifts that any government must have is a shift from subsidy based incentive model to long term business beneficial laws and policy incentive model.
E. Needed paradigm shift from citizens.
The following are the necessary paradigm shifts that a citizen must have:-
1) A shift from prioritizing political party and their ideology to prioritizing India as a country in the global competitive race
2) A shift from voting a political party who can just fulfill your temporary wants, needs and desire to voting a political party who focuses, prioritizes, plans and implements policies that is in the best interest of the nation and which is contributing to the nations long term growth.
3) A shift from negative and unnecessary social media content addiction to having a greater and deeper awareness, from the school going age itself, of national policies and geopolitics and critically analyzing their possible impact on India.
4) A shift from family gossiping to constructive, practical and implementable discussions, at their homes or schools or colleges or offices itself, on:-
a) How should our nation be in the next 10, 15 or 25 years from now?
b) What are our flaws? How are those flaws affecting our nations growth? What are solutions to overcome those flaws?
c) How can we as citizens contribute to nation building and growth?
d) such other relevant questions.
F. Needed paradigm shift from investors.
The following are the necessary paradigm shifts that any investor, whether domestic investor or foreign investor, must have:-
1) A shift from financial statement based investment decision to value creation (pain point solving) based investment decision.
2) A shift from substitute goods based investment to market relevant industry based investment.
3) A shift from funding companies only for investor gain to funding companies to promote those companies who create a relevant, long term and positive impact in the society.
G. Needed paradigm shift from schools and colleges.
The following are the necessary paradigm shifts that any school or college must have:-
1) A shift from bookish based learning to market relevant skill based learning.
2) A shift from written exam based testing to market relevant skill application based testing.
3) A shift from memory based learning to critical and analytical thinking based learning.
H. We can do it, if...
In order for our currently achieved milestone to sustain and grow even further in the long run, it is very important to create a positive paradigm shift among the various stakeholders like businesses, citizens, government, investors, schools and colleges, who are the main pillars of contribution to the nations growth.
If we can create the aforementioned paradigm shifts among the various stakeholders mentioned above, then I am highly optimistic that, we as a nation can easily achieve what we want to achieve and sustain and grow in the long run.
Blog dated: 06- 06- 2025